Monday, February 27, 2012

Syria's fractured opposition a long way from victory

Syrian soldiers who defected to join the Free Syrian Army are seen among demonstrators in the northern town of Kafranbel on Jan. 29, 2012.
Syria's Free Army gathered together opposing the Assad Regime
For article click here
For background information click here
For map of Syria click here

ARTICLE ANALYSIS

- U.S and Europe are onboard over the removal of Assad from power however Russia and China are allies with Syria and fear their relationship will be jeopardized if a regime change occurs.

- Opposing citizens wish for president Assad and his regime to step down from government.

- It is estimated that more than 5,400 people have been killed since March 2011 against people who are opposing the regime.

- There are many different divisions against each other (i.e. There's the Islamists versus the secularists)

- Syrian national council is the largest opposing group against the regime.

- National Coordination Body for Democratic Change is a less opposing group of the regime and also opposes the views of the Syrian national council.

- Free Syrian Army is comprised of roughly 15,000 soldiers all of whom are defectors of the Syrian army who are opposing the Assad regime, combating anyone in the way.
- It is believed that foreign powers are funding the opposing groups.




COMPLEX


INTERRELATED

 
Political
Social/Cultural
·    Assad regime is not stepping down.
·    Regime fighting and killing opposing groups.
·    Many opposing groups are engaging in combat with Syrian army
·    International countries asking for Assad to step down.
·    Danger filled streets, as fighting continues between opposing groups.
·    5,400 deaths are believed to have occurred

CONTROVERSIAL
How did this issue start?
How should it be resolved

- Citizens wanting Assad and his regime to step down.
- Assad ignoring the wishes of the citizens.
- Opposing groups are formed and use violence as a means of change.

- Assad must step down to insure the stop of violence.
- Foreign military involvement will be necessary unless opposing groups can over through the regime. 

My View

  Currently the country of Syria is undergoing some major conflicts between the current regime and it's opposing members. Some say it is a crisis, as I believe. I would compare the current issue going on to the issue that had been going on in Lybia when Muammar Gaddafi refused to step down and violence took to the streets throughout the country. In my opinion if Assad does not step down, he will end up being killed, in the future. It may take time, but if the people are desperate for change and feel strongly about their stance,they will follow through.
     I believe there are few options for ressolving this issue. Due to current nature of violence going on, it will be difficult for peaceful change to occur. The best case scenerio would be that Assad step down. As I mentioned in my previous comment, I think it will take the death of Assad to put the country in the right direction in terms of change in the government. Another option of coarse, is foreign military aid, although that could be risky and isnt neccessary due to the violence being local and no international attacks have been threatened.



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